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Engineering Mathematics Test 8

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Engineering Mathematics Test 8
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  • Question 1
    1 / -0
    A random variable X had Poisson distribution. If 2P(X = 2) = P(X = 1) + 2P (X = 0) then the variance of X is
    Solution

    For Poisson distribution

    \(P\left( r \right) = \frac{{{e^{ - m}}{m^r}}}{{r!}}\)

    Given that

    2P(X = 2) = P(X = 1) + 2P(X = 0)

    \( \Rightarrow 2\left[ {\frac{{{e^{ - m}}{m^2}}}{{2!}}} \right] = \left[ {\frac{{{e^{ - m}}{m^1}}}{{1!}}} \right] + 2\left[ {\frac{{{e^{ - m}}{m^0}}}{{0!}}} \right]\)

    ⇒ m2 = m1 + 2

    ⇒ m2 – m – 2 = 0

    ⇒ m2 – 2m + m – 2 = 0

    ⇒ m(m - 2) + 1(m - 2) =

    ⇒ m = 2, -1

    In Poisson distribution

    Variance = mean = m = 2

  • Question 2
    1 / -0

    What is the variance of the random variable X whose probability mass function is given below?

    X

    0

    1

    2

    p(X=x)

    q2

    2pq

    p2

    Solution

    \({q^2} + 2pq + {p^2} = 1\)

    \({\left( {p + q} \right)^2} = 1\)

    \(\therefore \left( {p + q} \right) = 1\)

    \(mean = \mu = \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 0}^3 {p_i}{x_i}\)

    \(= 0 \times {q^2} + 1 \times 2pq + 2 \times {p^2}\)

    \(= 2p\left( {q + p} \right)\)

    \(\therefore \mu = 2p\)

    \(\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 0}^2 x_i^2{p_i} = \;0 \times {q^2} + 1 \times 2pq + 4 \times {p^2}\)

    \(\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 0}^2 x_i^2{p_i} = \;\;2pq + 4{p^2}\)

    \(Var\left( x \right) = \;\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 0}^2 x_i^2{p_i} - {\mu ^2}\)

    \(Var\left( x \right) = 2pq + 4{p^2} - 4{p^2}\)

    \(Var\left( x \right) = 2pq\)
  • Question 3
    1 / -0
    X is uniformly distributed in (-2, 3). Which of the following is/are correct?
    Solution

    Uniformly distributed in (-2, 3), on X-axis.

    X ~ U(-2,3)

    Comparing with X ~ U(a,b)

    Sample space = {-2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3}

    Here, b= 3, a= -2

    \(Variance = \frac{1}{{12}}{\left( {b - a} \right)^2}\)

    \({\rm{Variance}} = {\rm{}}\frac{1}{{12}}{\left( {3 - {\rm{\;}}\left( { - 2} \right)} \right)^2}{\rm{\;}} = {\rm{\;}}\frac{{25}}{{12}}\)

    Mean of the uniform distributed variable is given as

    \(mean = \frac{{a + b}}{2}\)

    \(\therefore mean = \frac{{-2 + 3}}{2} = \frac{1}{2}\)

  • Question 4
    1 / -0
    Out of 800 families with 4 children each, how many families would be expected to have 2 boys and 2 girls.
    Solution

    Explanation:

    P(2 boys and 2 girls) \(= {\rm{\;P}}\left( {{\rm{X\;}} = {\rm{\;}}2} \right) = 4{C_2}{\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^2}{\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^{4 - 2}} = 6 \times {\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^4}\)

    ∴ P(2 boys and 2 girls) \(= {\rm{\;P}}\left( {{\rm{X\;}} = {\rm{\;}}2} \right) = \frac{3}{8}\)

    Now,

    Number of families having 2 boys and 2 girls = N ⋅ P(X = 2)

    (where N is the total number of families considered)

    ∴ Number of families having 2 boys and 2 girls \( = 800 \times \frac{3}{8}\)

    ∴ Number of families having 2 boys and 2 girls = 300 
  • Question 5
    1 / -0
    Consider a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials with probability of success in each trial being \(\frac{1}{5}\). Then which of the following statements is/are TRUE?
    Solution

    Concept:

    Binomial distribution:

    Let p is the probability that an event will happen in a single trail (called the probability of success) and

    q = 1 – p is the probability that an event will fail to happen (probability of failure)

    The probability that the event will happen exactly r times in n trails (i.e. x successes and n – r failures will occur) is given by the probability function

    \(f\left( x \right) = P\left( {X = r} \right) = {n_{{C_r}}}{p^r}{q^{n - r}}\)

    where the random variable X denotes the number of successes in n trials and r = 0, 1, 2, … n

    For Binomial distribution,

    Mean = μ = np

    Variance = σ2 = npq

    Standard deviation = σ = √(npq)

    Calculation:

    Let V be the event that occurs in a trial with probability p. Mathematical expectation E of the number of trials to first occurrence of V in a sequence of trials is E = 1/p.

    Similarly, the expected number of trials to get nth success = n/p

    Given that, the probability (p) = 1/5 = 0.2

    The expected number of trials to get first success = 1/0.2 = 5

    So, the expected number of failures preceding the first success is 4

    The expected number of trials to get second success = 2/0.2 = 10

    Expected number of successes in first 50 trials = np = 50 × 0.2 = 10

  • Question 6
    1 / -0
    Let Harsh and Dinesh be the two players playing chess and their chances of winning a game are in the ration 4:3 respectively. What is the chance of Dinesh winning at least 4 game out of five games played?
    Solution

    \(\frac{H}{D} = \frac{4}{3}\;\)

    \(4x + 3x = 1\)

    \(\therefore x = \frac{1}{7}\)

    \(p\left( H \right) = \frac{4}{7}\;,\;p\left( D \right) = \frac{3}{7}\)

    \(p\left( {D \ge 4} \right) = p\left( {D = 4} \right) + p\left( {D = 5} \right)\;\)

    \(p\left( {D \ge 4} \right)\; = \;\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}5\\4\end{array}} \right)\;{\left( {\frac{3}{7}} \right)^4}\;{\left( {\frac{4}{7}} \right)^1}\; + \;\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}5\\5\end{array}} \right)\;{\left( {\frac{3}{7}} \right)^5}\;{\left( {\frac{4}{7}} \right)^0}\)

    \(p(D≥4)=0.11 \)

  • Question 7
    1 / -0
    Suppose p is the number of cars per minute passing through a certain road junction between 5 PM and 6 PM, and p has a Poisson distribution with mean 3. What is the probability of observing fewer than 3 cars during any given minute in this interval?
    Solution

    Data:

    Mean = \(\lambda \) = 3.

    Formula:

    \({\rm{p}}\left( {{\rm{X}} = {\rm{x}},{\rm{\lambda }}} \right) = \frac{{{{\rm{\lambda }}^{\rm{x}}}}}{{{\rm{x}}!{{\rm{e}}^{\rm{\lambda }}}}}\) 

    Calculation:

    \(p\left( {X \le 3,\;\lambda = 3} \right)\)

    \( = p\left( {X = 0,\;\lambda = 3} \right) + \;p\left( {X = 1,\;\lambda = 3} \right) + p\left( {X = 2,\;\lambda = 3} \right)\)

    \( = \frac{{{3^0}}}{{0!{e^3}}} + \frac{{{3^1}}}{{1!{e^3}}} + \frac{{{3^2}}}{{2!{e^3}}}\)

    \(= \frac{1}{{{e^3}}} + \frac{3}{{{e^3}}} + \frac{9}{{2{e^3}}}\)

    \(= \frac{{17}}{{2{e^3}}}\)

  • Question 8
    1 / -0
    A random variable X has a probability density function \(f\left( x \right) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{k\;{x^n}{e^{ - x}}\;;\;x \ge 0}\\{0\;;\;otherwise}\end{array}} \right.\) (n is an integer) with mean 3. The values of {k, n} are
    Solution

    Concept: 

    If f(x) is probability density function, then

    1. \(\mathop \smallint \nolimits_{ - \infty }^\infty f\left( x \right)dx = 1\)

    2. Mean \(= E\left( x \right) = \mathop \smallint \nolimits_{ - \infty }^\infty x \cdot f\left( x \right)dx\)

    Calculation:

    X has a probability density function f(x)

    \(\mathop \smallint \limits_0^\infty {\rm{f}}\left( {\rm{x}} \right){\rm{dx}} = 1\)

    \(\Rightarrow \mathop \smallint \limits_0^\infty {\rm{k\;}}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{n}}}{{\rm{e}}^{ - {\rm{x}}}}{\rm{dx}} = 1\)

    We know that,

    \({\rm{\Gamma m}} = \mathop \smallint \limits_0^\infty {{\rm{e}}^{ - {\rm{x}}}}{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{m}} - 1}}{\rm{dx}}\)

    \(\Rightarrow {\rm{k\Gamma }}\left( {{\rm{n}} + 1} \right) = 1\) → (1)

    Given that mean = 3

    \(\Rightarrow \mathop \smallint \limits_0^\infty {\rm{x\;f}}\left( x \right){\rm{dx}} = 3\)

    \(\Rightarrow \mathop \smallint \limits_0^\infty {\rm{k\;}}{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{n}} + 1}}{{\rm{e}}^{ - {\rm{x}}}}{\rm{dx}} = 3\) 

    \(\Rightarrow {\rm{k\Gamma }}\left( {{\rm{n}} + 2} \right) = 3\) → (2)

    From equations (1) and (2)

    \(\Rightarrow \frac{{k{\rm{\Gamma }}\left( {n + 1} \right)}}{{k{\rm{\Gamma }}\left( {n + 2} \right)}} = \frac{1}{3}\)

    \(\Rightarrow 3{\rm{\Gamma }}\left( {n + 1} \right) = {\rm{\Gamma }}\left( {n + 2} \right)\)

    We know that \({\rm{\Gamma }}n = \left( {{\rm{n}} - 1} \right)!\)

    ⇒ 3n! = (n + 1)!

    ⇒ 3 = n + 1

    ⇒ n = 2

    From equation (1),

    \({\rm{k\Gamma }}\left( {{\rm{n}} + 1} \right) = 1{\rm{\;}} \Rightarrow {\rm{k\;n}}! = 1 \Rightarrow {\rm{k}} = \frac{1}{{2!}} = \frac{1}{2}\)
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