Concept:
Binomial Distribution: A Binomial Distribution is an experiment in which only one out of two outcomes is possible. For example: Head or Tail, Yes or No, 1 or 0, etc.
- It is denoted as B(n, p) where ‘n’ denotes the total number of times the experiment is conducted and ‘p’ denotes the probability of the happening of the event.
- The probability of getting exactly ‘k’ successes in ‘n’ independent trials for a Random Variable X is expressed as P(X = k) and is given by the formula: P(X = k) = nCk pk (1 - p)n - k.
- nCk is maximum when k = \(\rm \dfrac n 2\), if n is even.
- nCk is maximum for both k = \(\rm \dfrac {n+1} 2\) and k = \(\rm \dfrac {n+3} 2\), if n is odd.
Calculation:
Variable X has a binomial distribution \(\rm B\left(6, \dfrac{1}{2}\right)\).
∴ n = 6 and p = \(\rm \dfrac {1} 2\).
And, 1 - p = \(\rm 1-\dfrac {1} 2=\dfrac {1} 2\) = p.
For a random variable X, the probability is given by P(X = k) = nCk pk (1 - p)n - k.
∴ P (X = k) = 6Ck pk p6 - k
= 6Ck p6
= \(\rm ^6C_k\left(\dfrac {1}{2}\right)^6\)
Now, the most likely outcome will be when P (X = k) will be maximum for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6.
⇒ \(\rm ^6C_k\left(\dfrac {1}{2}\right)^6\) is maximum.
⇒ 6Ck is maximum.
⇒ k = \(\rm \dfrac {6}{2}\) = 3.
∴ The most likely outcome is when the value of X = k = 3.