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Engineering Mathematics Test 10

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Engineering Mathematics Test 10
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Weekly Quiz Competition
  • Question 1
    1 / -0
    If a random variable has a Poisson distribution such that P(1) = P(2), find the mean of the distribution.
    Solution

    Concept:

    Poisson distribution is

    \(P\left( x \right) = \frac{{{m^x}{e^{ - m}}}}{{x!}}\)

    Where m is the mean of the distribution.

    For Poisson distribution: Mean = Variance = m

    Calculation:

    P (x = 1) = P(x = 2)

    \(\frac{{{m^1}{e^{ - m}}}}{{1!}} = \frac{{{m^2}{e^{ - m}}}}{{2!}}\)

    m = m2/2

    m = 2
  • Question 2
    1 / -0

    Given the equation of line of regression of x on y, determine its regression coefficient.

    \(x - \bar x = \frac{{r{\sigma _x}}}{{{\sigma _y}}}\left( {y - \bar y} \right)\;\)

    Solution

    The line of regression of y on x is

    \(y - \bar y = r \cdot \left( {\frac{{{\sigma _y}}}{{{\sigma _x}}}} \right)\left( {x - \bar x} \right)\)

    The line of regression of x on y is

    \(x - \bar x = r \cdot \left( {\frac{{{\sigma _x}}}{{{\sigma _y}}}} \right)\left( {y - \bar y} \right)\)

    \(r\left( {\frac{{{\sigma _y}}}{{{\sigma _x}}}} \right)\) is called the regression co-efficient of y on x and is denoted by byx

    \(r\left( {\frac{{{\sigma _x}}}{{{\sigma _y}\;}}} \right)\) is called the regression co-efficient of x on y and is denoted by bxy

    If the line is in the form of y1 = m1 x1 + c1, then the regression co-efficient byx = m1

    If the line is in the form of x2 = y2 m2 + c2, then the regression co-efficient bxy = m2

    Correlation co-efficient \(\left( r \right) = \sqrt {{b_{yx}}{b_{xy}}}\)

  • Question 3
    1 / -0
    Questions are asked to Girish in quiz competition one by one until be fails to answer correctly. The probability of his answering correctly a question is P. The probability that he will quit after answering on odd number of questions is 0.9. The value of P is
    Solution

    Let X denote the number of questions asked to Girish.

    The Last one he answers wrongly.

    P(X = k) = Pk-1 q, k = 1, 2, 3, ….

    The probability that he will quit after answering an odd number of questions = 0.9

    \( \Rightarrow \;\mathop \sum \limits_{k = 0}^\infty P\left( {X = 2k + 1} \right) = 0.9\;\)

    \( \Rightarrow \;\mathop \sum \limits_{k = 0}^\infty {P^{2k}}q = 0.9\) 

    (q + P2q + P4 q + …) = 0.9

    \( \Rightarrow \frac{q}{{1 - {p^2}}} = 0.9 \Rightarrow p = \frac{1}{9}\) 
  • Question 4
    1 / -0
    Suppose there is a disease, whose average incidence is 2 per million people. What is the probability that a city of 1 million people has at least twice the average incidence? (Assume Poisson distribution parameter is 2)
    Solution

    Concept:

    Poisson distribution:

    A Poisson random variable describes the total number of events that happen in a certain time period.

    A discrete random variable X is said to have a Poisson distribution with parameter λ (λ > 0) if the pdf of X is

    \(P\left( {X = x} \right) = \frac{{{\lambda ^x}{e^{ - \lambda }}}}{{x!}}\;;x = 0,\;1,\;2,\; \ldots \)

    Calculation:

    Twice the average incidence would be 4 cases.

    Let the random variable X = number of cases in 1 million people.

    Has Poisson distribution with parameter 2.

    P (X 4) = 1 – P (X 3)

    \( = 1 - \left( {{e^{ - 2}}\frac{{{2^0}}}{{0!}} + {e^{ - 2}}\frac{{{2^1}}}{{1!}} + {e^{ - 2}}\frac{{{2^2}}}{{2!}} + {e^{ - 3}}\frac{{{2^3}}}{{3!}}} \right) = 0.143\) 

  • Question 5
    1 / -0
    The average number of defects per wafer (defect density) is 3. The redundancy into the design allows for up to 4 defects per wafer. What is the probability that the redundancy will not be sufficient if the defects follow a Poisson distribution?
    Solution

    Concept:

    Poisson distribution:

    A Poisson random variable describes the total number of events that happen in a certain time period.

    A discrete random variable X is said to have a Poisson distribution with parameter λ (λ > 0) if the pdf of X is

    \(P\left( {X = x} \right) = \frac{{{\lambda ^x}{e^{ - \lambda }}}}{{x!}}\;;x = 0,\;1,\;2,\; \ldots \)

    Calculation:

    The average number of defects (λ) = 3

    For k defects:

    \(P\left( {X = k} \right) = \frac{{{e^{ - 3}}\;{3^k}}}{{k!}}\) 

    Where X be the number of defects per wafer.

    The redundancy will not be sufficient when X > 4

    P(X > 4) = 1 – P(X = 0) – P(X = 1) – P(X = 2) – P(X = 3) – P(X = 4)

    \( = 1 - {e^{ - 3}}\left( {1 + \frac{3}{{1!}} + \frac{{{3^2}}}{{2!}} + \frac{{{3^3}}}{{3!}} + \frac{{{3^4}}}{{4!}}} \right)\) 

    = 0.1847

  • Question 6
    1 / -0

    Let X and Y be the time (in hours) taken by Saurabh and Sachin to solve a problem. Suppose that each of X and y are uniformly distributed over the interval [0, 1]. Assume that Saurabh and Sachin start to solve the problem independently. Then, the probability that the problem will be solved in less than 20 minutes is 

    Solution

    X and Y are distributed uniformly over the interval [0, 1].

    The probability that the problem get solved in 20 minutes is 1/3 for both X and Y.

    Case (i): Only Sachin solved in less than 20 minutes

    \({P_1} = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{2}{3} = \frac{2}{9}\) 

    Case (ii): Only Saurabh solved in less than 20 minutes

    \({P_2} = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{9}\)

    Case (iii): Both Sachin and Saurabh solved in less than 20 minutes

    \({P_3} = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{9}\) 

    Total probability that the problem will be solved in less than 20 minutes is,

    \(P = \frac{2}{9} + \frac{2}{9} + \frac{1}{9} = \frac{5}{9}\) 

  • Question 7
    1 / -0

    Consider the following regression equations obtained from a correlation table:

    Y = 0.516 x + 33.73

    x = 0.512y + 32.52

    The value of the correlation coefficient will be
    Solution

    Concept:

    The line of regression of y on x is

    \(y - \bar y = r \cdot \left( {\frac{{{\sigma _y}}}{{{\sigma _x}}}} \right)\left( {x - \bar x} \right)\)

    The line of regression of x on y is

    \(x - \bar x = r \cdot \left( {\frac{{{\sigma _x}}}{{{\sigma _y}}}} \right)\left( {y - \bar y} \right)\)

    \(r\left( {\frac{{{\sigma _y}}}{{{\sigma _x}}}} \right)\) is called the regression co-efficient of y on x and is denoted by byx

    \(r\left( {\frac{{{\sigma _x}}}{{{\sigma _y}\;}}} \right)\) is called the regression co-efficient of x on y and is denoted by bxy

    If the line is in the form of y1 = m1 x1 + c1, then the regression co-efficient byx = m1

    If the line is in the form of x2 = y2 m2 + c3, then the regression co-efficient bxy = m2

    Correlation co-efficient \(\left( r \right) = \sqrt {{b_{yx}}{b_{xy}}}\)

    Calculation:

    Given equation are

    y = 0.516 x + 33.73

    x = 0.512 y + 32.52

    From the above equations,

    byx = 0.516, bxy = 0.512

    Correlation co-efficient \(\left( r \right) = \sqrt {{b_{yx}}{b_{xy}}}\)

    \(\Rightarrow r = \sqrt {0.516 \times 0.512} = 0.514\)
  • Question 8
    1 / -0
    A missile can successfully hit a target with probability 0.75. If three successful hits can destroy the target completely, how many minimum missiles must be fired so that the probability of the completely destroying the target is not less than 0.95?
    Solution

    Let X be the number of successful hits.

    Suppose n missiles are fired.

    P(X ≥ 3) ≥ 0.95

    From binominal distribution,

    1 – P(X < 3) ≥ 0.95

    P(X < 3) ≤ 0.05

    P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) ≤ 0.05

    \( \Rightarrow {n_{{c_0}}}{p^0}{q^n} + {n_{{c_1}}}p\;{q^{n - 1}} + {n_{{c_2}}}{p^2}{q^{n - 2}} \le 0.05\) 

    \( \Rightarrow {\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^n} + n \cdot \left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right){\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^{n - 1}} + \left( {\frac{n}{2}} \right){\left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)^2}{\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^{n - 2}} \le 0.05\) 

    10 (9n2 – 3n + 2) 4n.

    The minimum number of n for which the above equation satisfies is, n = 6.
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