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Probability Test - 28

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Probability Test - 28
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  • Question 1
    1 / -0
    If $$P(A\cup B)=P(A\cap B)$$ then the relation between $$P(A)$$ and $$P(B)$$ is..........
    Solution
    $$A\cup B=nA+nB-nA\cap B$$
    $$=nA\cap B$$
    Thus 
    $$nA+nB=2nA\cap B$$
    This is true if $$A=B$$.
    Hence 
    $$P(A\cup B)=P(A\cap B)$$
    Implies $$P(A)=P(B)$$.
  • Question 2
    1 / -0
    $$A$$ and $$B$$ are two independent events. The probability that $$A$$ and $$B$$ occur is $$\displaystyle\frac{1}{6}$$ and the probability that at least one of them occurs is $$\displaystyle\frac{2}{3}$$. The probability of the occurrence of $$A = ....$$ if $$P(A) = 2P(B)$$
    Solution
    Here given $$P(A\cap B) = \cfrac{1}{6}, P(A\cup B) = \cfrac{2}{3}, P(A)=2P(B)$$

    Thus using $$P(A\cup B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$$

    $$\Rightarrow \cfrac{2}{3}=P(A)+\cfrac{1}{2}P(B)-\cfrac{1}{6}\Rightarrow P(A) = \cfrac{5}{9}$$
  • Question 3
    1 / -0
    The probability that at least one of the events $$A$$ and $$B$$ occur is $$0.6$$. If $$A$$ and $$B$$ occurs simultaneously with probability $$0.2$$, then $$P\left( \overline { A }  \right) +P\left( \overline { B }  \right) $$ is
    Solution
    Given, $$P\left( A\cup B \right) =0.6,P\left( A\cap B \right) =0.2$$
    $$\therefore P\left( \overline { A }  \right) +P\left( \overline { B }  \right) =\left( 1-P\left( A \right)  \right) +\left( 1-P\left( B \right)  \right) \\ =2-\left( P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right)  \right) =2-\left( P\left( A\cup B \right) +P\left( A\cap B \right)  \right) \\ =2-\left( 0.6+0.2 \right) =1.2$$
  • Question 4
    1 / -0
    For the three events $$A, B \& C,$$ probability of exactly one of the events $$ A$$ or $$B$$ occurs = probability of exactly one of the events $$C$$ or $$A$$ occurs $$= p$$ $$\&$$ $$P$$ (all the three events occur simultaneously) $$= p$$$$^2$$, where 
    Solution
    $$P$$(exactly one of $$A$$ or $$B$$ occurs)
    $$=P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) -2P\left( A\cap B \right) $$
    Therefore, $$P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) -2P\left( A\cap B \right) =p $$    ...(1)
    Similarly, $$P\left( B \right) +P\left( C \right) -2P\left( B\cap C \right) =p$$   ...(2)
    and $$P\left( C \right) +P\left( A \right) -2P\left( C\cap A \right) =p $$     ...(3)
    Adding $$(1),(2)$$ and $$(3)$$ and dividing by $$2$$
    $$ \displaystyle \Rightarrow P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) +P\left( C \right) -P\left( A\cap B \right) -P\left( B\cap C \right) -P\left( C\cap A \right) =\frac { 3p }{ 2 }$$    ...(4)
    Now,$$P$$(at least one of $$A,B$$ and $$C$$)
    $$ \displaystyle =\frac { 3p }{ 2 } +{ p }^{ 2 }=\frac { 3p+{ 2p }^{ 2 } }{ 2 }  $$
    Put this equal to $$ \displaystyle \frac { 11 }{ 18 } $$ and solve for $$p$$.
  • Question 5
    1 / -0
    A and B are two independent events such that $$P(A'\cap B')=\dfrac{1}{6}$$ and $$P(A')=\dfrac{5}{24}$$. Then P(B) is equal to 
    Solution
    Given: A and B are two independent events and
    $$P(\bar { A } \bigcap { \bar { B }  } )=\cfrac { 1 }{ 6 } ,P\left( \bar { A }  \right) =\cfrac { 5 }{ 24 } $$
    $$\therefore $$ Using
    $$P(\bar { A } \bigcap { \bar { B }  } )=P(\bar { A } )P(\bar { B } )$$
    $$\cfrac { 1 }{ 6 } =\cfrac { 5 }{ 24 } P(\bar { B } )$$
    i.e., $$P(\bar { B } )=\cfrac { 4 }{ 5 } $$ then
    $$P(B)=1-P(\bar { B } )=1-\cfrac { 4 }{ 5 } =\cfrac { 1 }{ 5 } $$
  • Question 6
    1 / -0
    The probability that at least one of the events $$A$$ and $$B$$ occurs is $$\displaystyle \frac {3}{5}$$. If $$A$$ and $$B$$ occur simultaneously with probability $$\displaystyle \frac {1}{5}$$ then $$\displaystyle P(A') + P(B')$$ is
    Solution
    $$P\left( A\cup B \right) =\dfrac { 3 }{ 5 } \quad and\quad P\left( A\cap B \right) =\dfrac { 1 }{ 5 } \\ P\left( A\cup B \right)
    =P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) -P\left( A\cap B \right) \\ \Rightarrow P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right)
    =P\left( A\cup B \right) +P\left( A\cap B \right) \\ \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad =\dfrac { 3 }{ 5 } +\dfrac { 1 }{ 5 }
    =\dfrac { 4 }{ 5 } \\ \Rightarrow 1-P\left( \bar A \right) +1-P\left(\bar B \right) =\dfrac { 4 }{ 5 }
    \Rightarrow P\left(\bar A \right) +P\left(\bar B \right)=2-\dfrac { 4 }{ 5 }
    =\dfrac{6}{5}\\ \Rightarrow P\left( { A }^{ c } \right) +P\left( { B }^{ c } \right) =\dfrac { 6 }{ 5 } $$
  • Question 7
    1 / -0
    Probability is $$0.45$$ that a dealer will sell at least $$20$$ television sets during a day, and the probability is $$0.74$$ that he will sell less that $$24$$ televisions. The probability that he will sell $$20,21,22$$ or $$23$$ televisions during the day, is
    Solution
    Let $$A$$ be the event that the sale is at least $$20$$ televisions, i.e. $$20,21,22,...$$
    and $$B$$ be the event that sale is less than $$24$$ i.e. $$0.1.2.3...23$$.
    Then $$A\cap B$$ will denote the sale of $$20,21,22$$ and $$23$$ televisions,
    We are given $$P(A)=0.45$$ and $$P(B)=0.74$$.
    It is required to find $$P(A\cap B)$$.
    Also $$P\left( A\cup B \right) =P($$ sale of $$0,1,2,3,...,20,21,22,23$$ televisions$$)=P(S)=1$$
    From addition rule, required probability is 
    $$P\left( A\cap B \right) =P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) -P\left( A\cup B \right) =0.45+0.74-1=0.19$$
  • Question 8
    1 / -0
    A man alternatively tosses a coin and throws a die. The probability of getting a head on the coin before he gets 4 on the die is
    Solution
    Let the desired event be called E
    then $$P\left( E \right) =P\left( H \right) +P\left( T \right) P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right) P\left( H \right) +P\left( T \right) P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right) P\left( T \right) P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right) P\left( H \right) +.............\infty $$
    where $$P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right) =\dfrac { 5 }{ 6 } ,\quad P\left( H \right) =P\left( T \right) =0.5$$
    thus we can see that an G.P sum is formed with first term =P(H) and common ratio =$$P\left( T \right) P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right) $$
    hence $$P\left( E \right) =\dfrac { P\left( H \right)  }{ 1-P\left( T \right) P\left( \overline { 4 }  \right)  } =\dfrac { 0.5\times 12 }{ 7 } =\dfrac { 6 }{ 7 } $$
  • Question 9
    1 / -0
    A, B, C take one shot each at a target. Their probabilities of hitting the target are respectively 0.4, 0.5 and 0.8. The probability that at least two of them hit the target, is
    Solution
    Let the desired event be called E
    Also let A,B and C hitting the target be called A,B and respectively and missing the target be called $$\overline { A } ,\overline { B } \quad and\quad \overline { C } $$
    $$P\left( E \right) =P\left( A \right) P\left( B \right) P\left( C \right) +P\left( \overline { A }  \right) P\left( B \right) P\left( C \right) +P\left( A \right) P\left( \overline { B }  \right) P\left( C \right) +P\left( A \right) P\left( B \right) P\left( \overline { C }  \right) \\ \Rightarrow P\left( E \right) =0.4\times 0.5\times 0.8+0.6\times 0.5\times 0.8+0.4\times 0.5\times 0.8+0.4\times 0.5\times 0.2\\ \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad =0.16+0.24+0.16+0.04=0.6=\dfrac { 3 }{ 5 } $$
  • Question 10
    1 / -0
    If $$E$$ and $$F$$ are events with $$P(E)\le P(F)$$ and $$P(E\cap F)>0$$, then
    Solution
    Considering the set $$S$$.
    $$E$$ is subset of $$S$$ and $$F$$ is subset of $$S, F$$ being the larger set.
    As $$P(E\cap F)$$ is not zero then this means that $$E \& F$$ have something in common. But still they can be independent or independent. $$E $$ might be completely inside of $$F $$ or some very little part of $$E$$ is in $$F$$.  Hence all the first three options are incorrect. 
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