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Probability Test - 32

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Probability Test - 32
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  • Question 1
    1 / -0
    If A and B are the two events of a sample space such that $$P(A\,\cup\,B)\, =\, \displaystyle \frac{5}{6}$$, $$P(A\,\cap\,B)\, =\,\displaystyle \frac{1}{3}$$, $$P(B)\, =\, \displaystyle \frac{1}{3}$$. Find P(A) 
    Solution
    $$P(A\,\cup\,B)\, =\, \displaystyle \frac{5}{6}$$, $$P(A\,\cap\,B)\, =\,\displaystyle \frac{1}{3}$$, $$P(B)\, =\, \displaystyle \frac{1}{3}$$
    $$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A\cap B)$$
    $$\frac{5}{6} = P(A) + \dfrac{1}{3} - \dfrac{1}{3}$$

    $$-P(A) = \dfrac{1}{3} - \dfrac{1}{3} - \dfrac{5}{6}$$

    $$-P(A) = - \dfrac{5}{6}$$
    $$P(A) = \dfrac{5}{6}$$
  • Question 2
    1 / -0
    If four positive integers are taken at random and multiplied together, then the probability that the last digit is 1, 3, 7 or 9 is
    Solution
    In any number, the last digit can be $$0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9$$.
    We want that the last digit in the product is an odd digit other than $$5$$,
    i.e., it is any one of the digits $$1,3,7,9$$. This means that the product is not divisible by $$2$$ or $$5$$.
    The probability that a number  is divisible by $$2$$ or $$5$$ is $$\displaystyle\frac { 6 }{ 10 } $$.
    [$$\because $$ In that case the last digit can be one of $$0,2,4,5,6,8$$]
    $$\therefore$$ The probability that the number  is not divisible by $$2$$ or $$5=$$ $$\displaystyle1-\frac { 6 }{ 10 } -\frac { 4 }{ 10 } =\frac { 2 }{ 5 } $$
    In order that the product is not divisible by $$2$$ or $$5$$,
    none of tthe constituent numbers should be divisible by $$2$$ or $$5$$ and its probability $$\displaystyle={ \left( \frac { 2 }{ 5 }  \right)  }^{ 4 }=\frac { 16 }{ 625 } $$
  • Question 3
    1 / -0
    An investment consultant predicts that the odds against the price of a certain stock will go up during the next week are $$2:1$$ and the odds in favor of the price remaining the same are $$1:3$$. The probability that the price of the stock will go down during the next week, is 
    Solution
    Let $$A$$ denote the event 'stock price will go up', and $$B$$ be the event 'stock price will remain same'.
    Then $$\displaystyle P\left( A \right) =\frac { 1 }{ 3 } $$ and $$\displaystyle P\left( B \right) =\frac { 1 }{ 4 } $$.
    $$\therefore P($$ stock price will either go up or remain same $$)$$ is
    $$\displaystyle P\left( A\cup B \right) =P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) =\frac { 1 }{ 3 } +\frac { 1 }{ 4 } =\frac { 7 }{ 12 } $$
    Hence probability that stock price will go down is given by
    $$\displaystyle P\left( \overline { A } \cap \overline { B }  \right) =1-P\left( A\cup B \right) =1-\frac { 7 }{ 12 } =\frac { 5 }{ 12 } $$
  • Question 4
    1 / -0
    A bag contains $$17$$ tickets numbered $$1$$ to $$17$$. A ticket is drawn and replaced, then one more ticket is drawn and replaced. Probability that first drawn number is even and second is odd, is
    Solution
    Let $$A$$ be the event that first drawn number is even and $$B$$ be event that the second number drawn number is odd.
    Total number of even numbers $$\displaystyle=\left[ \frac { 17 }{ 2 }  \right] =8$$
    $$\displaystyle\Rightarrow P\left( A \right) =\frac { 8 }{ 17 } $$ and $$\displaystyle P\left( B \right) =\frac { 9 }{ 17 } \Rightarrow P\left( A\cap B \right) =\frac { 72 }{ 289 } $$
  • Question 5
    1 / -0
    An $$MBM$$ applies for a job in two firms $$X$$ and $$Y$$. The probability of his being selected in firm $$X$$ is $$0.7$$ and being rejected at $$Y$$ is $$0.5$$. The probability of at least one of his applications being rejected is $$0.6$$. The probability that he will be selected in one of the firms, is
    Solution
    Let $$A$$ and $$B$$ denote the events that the person is selected in firms $$X$$ and $$Y$$ respectively.
    Then in the usual notations, we are given:
    $$P\left( A \right) =0.7\Rightarrow P\left( \overline { A }  \right) =1-0.7=0.3\\ P\left( \overline { B }  \right) =0.5\Rightarrow P\left( B \right) =1-0.5=0.5$$
    and $$P\left( \overline { A } \cup \overline { B }  \right) =0.6$$
    The probability that the persons will be selected in one of the two firms $$X$$ or $$Y$$ is given by:
    $$P\left( A\cup B \right) =1-P\left( \overline { A } \cap \overline { B }  \right) =1-\left( P\left( \overline { A }  \right) +P\left( \overline { B }  \right) -P\left( \overline { A } \cup \overline { B }  \right)  \right) \\ =1-\left( 0.3+0.5-0.6 \right) =0.8$$
  • Question 6
    1 / -0
    If A, B and C are three events such that $$P(B)=\dfrac {3}{4}, P(A\cap B\cap C')=\dfrac {1}{3}$$ and $$P(A'\cap B\cap C')=\dfrac {1}{3}$$, then $$P(B\cap C)$$ is equal to
    Solution
    We have
    $$P(B\cap C')=P[(A\cap A')\cap (B\cap C')]$$
    $$\displaystyle =P(A\cap B\cap C')+P(A'\cap B\cap C') =\frac {1}{3}+\frac {1}{3}=\frac {2}{3}$$
    Now, $$\displaystyle P(B\cap C)=P(B)-P(B\cap C') =\frac {3}{4}-\frac {2}{3}=\frac {1}{12}$$

  • Question 7
    1 / -0
    The probability that at least one of $$A$$ and $$B$$ occurs is $$0.6$$ and probability that they occur simultaneously is $$0.3$$, then $$P(A')+P(B')$$ is:
    Solution
    We have have $$P(A\cup B)=0.6$$ and $$P(A\cap B)=0.3$$.
    We know that
    $$P(A)+P(B)=P(A\cup B)+(A\cap B)=0.6+0.3=0.9$$
    $$\therefore P(A')+P(B')=1-P(B)+1-P(A)=2-0.9=1.1$$
  • Question 8
    1 / -0
    What is the probability that a leap year has $$53$$ Sundays?
    Solution

    A leap year has $$366$$ days = $$ 52   \times    7   +   2 $$ days      

    That means there will be $$52$$ Sunday/Monday.../Saturdays plus $$2$$ additional days. Now these $$2 $$ additional days would be combination of any of the successive two days.   

    i)Sunday $$+$$ Monday

    ii)Monday $$+$$ Tuesday

    iii)Tuesday $$+$$ Wednesday

    iv)Wednesday $$+$$ Thursday

    v)Thursday $$+$$ Friday

    vi)Friday $$+$$ Saturday

    vii)Saturday $$+$$ Sunday 

    Now the probability of two Sundays will be (i) & (vii) $$ =  2$$ outcomes out of above $$7$$ outcomes. So the probability of having two additional Sundays

    $$=   2/7.$$

  • Question 9
    1 / -0
    A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that
    $$(i)$$ 3 will not come up either time?
    $$(ii)$$ 6 will come up at least once?
    Solution

    When a dice is thrown twice, the possible 36 outcomes.

    $$ 3 $$ will not come up either time, when pair of outcomes are anything except $$ (1,3), (3, 1), (3, 3), (2, 3), (3,2), (3,6), (6,3) (4,3), (3,4) , (3,5),(5,3) $$


    Probability that $$ 3 $$ will not come up either time $$ = \dfrac {36-11}{36} = \dfrac {25}{36} $$

    $$ 6 $$ will come up at least once, when pair of outcomes are $$ (1,6), (6,1), (6,2), (2,6), (3,6), (6,3), (4,6), (6,4), (6,5), (5,6), (6,6) $$

    Probability that $$ 6 $$ will come up at least once $$ = \dfrac {11}{36} $$

  • Question 10
    1 / -0
    The probabilities of three events $$A,B$$ and $$C$$ are $$P\left( A \right) =0.6,P\left( B \right) =0.4,P\left( C \right) =0.5$$,also 
    $$P\left( A\cup B \right) =0.8,P\left( A\cap C \right) =0.3,P\left( A\cup B\cup C \right) \ge 0.85,P\left( A\cap B\cap C \right) =0.2$$ 
    and $$P\left( B\cap C \right) ={ p }_{ 1 }$$. Then
    Solution
    $$0.85\le P\left( A\cup B\cup C \right) \le 1\\ P\left( A\cap B \right) =P\left( A \right) +P\left( B \right) -P\left( A\cup B \right) =0.2\\ \therefore P\left( A\cup B\cup C \right) =0.6+0.4+0.5-0.2-0.3-{ p }_{ 1 }+0.2\\ \Rightarrow { p }_{ 1 }=1.2-P\left( A\cup B\cup C \right) \\ \because 0.85\le P\left( A\cup B\cup C \right) \le 1\Rightarrow 0.2\le { p }_{ 1 }\le 0.35$$
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